by Naomi Klein
There is a question from a
gentleman in the fourth row.
He introduces himself as Richard Rothschild. He tells the crowd that he ran for county commissioner inMaryland 's Carroll County because he had come to the
conclusion that policies to combat global warming were actually "an attack
on middle-class American capitalism." His question for the panelists,
gathered in a Washington , DC , Marriott Hotel in late June, is this:
"To what extent is this entire movement simply a green Trojan horse, whose
belly is full with red Marxist socioeconomic doctrine?"
He introduces himself as Richard Rothschild. He tells the crowd that he ran for county commissioner in
Here at the Heartland
Institute's Sixth International Conference on Climate Change, the premier
gathering for those dedicated to denying the overwhelming scientific consensus
that human activity is warming the planet, this qualifies as a rhetorical
question. Like asking a meeting of German central bankers if Greeks are
untrustworthy. Still, the panelists aren't going to pass up an opportunity to
tell the questioner just how right he is.
Chris Horner, a senior
fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute who specializes in harassing
climate scientists with nuisance lawsuits and Freedom of Information fishing
expeditions, angles the table mic over to his mouth. "You can believe this
is about the climate," he says darkly, "and many people do, but it's
not a reasonable belief." Horner, whose prematurely silver hair makes him
look like a right-wing Anderson Cooper, likes to invoke Saul Alinsky: "The
issue isn't the issue." The issue, apparently, is that "no free society
would do to itself what this agenda requires.... The first step to that is to
remove these nagging freedoms that keep getting in the way."
Claiming that climate change
is a plot to steal American freedom is rather tame by Heartland standards. Over
the course of this two-day conference, I will learn that Obama's campaign
promise to support locally owned biofuels refineries was really about
"green communitarianism," akin to the "Maoist" scheme to
put "a pig iron furnace in everybody's backyard" (the Cato
Institute's Patrick Michaels). That climate change is "a stalking horse
for National Socialism" (former Republican senator and retired astronaut
Harrison Schmitt). And that environmentalists are like Aztec priests,
sacrificing countless people to appease the gods and change the weather (Marc
Morano, editor of the denialists' go-to website, ClimateDepot.com).
Most of all, however, I will
hear versions of the opinion expressed by the county commissioner in the fourth
row: that climate change is a Trojan horse designed to abolish capitalism and
replace it with some kind of eco-socialism. As conference speaker Larry Bell
succinctly puts it in his new book Climate of Corruption, climate
change "has little to do with the state of the environment and much to do
with shackling capitalism and transforming the American way of life in the
interests of global wealth redistribution."
Yes, sure, there is a
pretense that the delegates' rejection of climate science is rooted in serious
disagreement about the data. And the organizers go to some lengths to mimic
credible scientific conferences, calling the gathering "Restoring the
Scientific Method" and even adopting the organizational acronym ICCC, a
mere one letter off from the world's leading authority on climate change, the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). But the scientific theories
presented here are old and long discredited. And no attempt is made to explain
why each speaker seems to contradict the next. (Is there no warming, or is
there warming but it's not a problem? And if there is no warming, then what's
all this talk about sunspots causing temperatures to rise?)
In truth, several members of
the mostly elderly audience seem to doze off while the temperature graphs are
projected. They come to life only when the rock stars of the movement take the
stage -- not the C-team scientists but the A-team ideological warriors like
Morano and Horner. This is the true purpose of the gathering: providing a forum
for die-hard denialists to collect the rhetorical baseball bats with which they
will club environmentalists and climate scientists in the weeks and months to
come. The talking points first tested here will jam the comment sections
beneath every article and YouTube video that contains the phrase "climate
change" or "global warming." They will also exit the mouths of
hundreds of right-wing commentators and politicians -- from Republican
presidential candidates like Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann all the way down
to county commissioners like Richard Rothschild. In an interview outside the
sessions, Joseph Bast, president of the Heartland Institute, proudly takes
credit for "thousands of articles and op-eds and speeches...that were
informed by or motivated by somebody attending one of these conferences."
The Heartland Institute, a
Chicago-based think tank devoted to "promoting free-market
solutions," has been holding these confabs since 2008, sometimes twice a
year. And the strategy appears to be working. At the end of day one, Morano --
whose claim to fame is having broken the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth story
that sank John Kerry's 2004 presidential campaign -- leads the gathering
through a series of victory laps. Cap and trade: dead! Obama at the Copenhagen summit:
failure! The climate movement: suicidal! He even projects a couple of quotes
from climate activists beating up on themselves (as progressives do so well)
and exhorts the audience to "celebrate!"
There were no balloons or
confetti descending from the rafters, but there may as well have been.
* * *
When public opinion on the
big social and political issues changes, the trends tend to be relatively
gradual. Abrupt shifts, when they come, are usually precipitated by dramatic
events: Which is why pollsters are so surprised by what has happened to
perceptions about climate change over a span of just four years. A 2007 Harris
poll found that 71 percent of Americans believed that the continued burning of
fossil fuels would cause the climate to change. By 2009 the figure had dropped
to 51 percent. In June 2011 the number of Americans who agreed was down to 44
percent -- well under half the population. According to Scott Keeter, director
of survey research at the Pew
Research Center
for People and the Press, this is "among the largest shifts over a short
period of time seen in recent public opinion history."
Even more striking, this
shift has occurred almost entirely at one end of the political spectrum. As
recently as 2008 (the year Newt Gingrich did a climate change TV spot with
Nancy Pelosi) the issue still had a veneer of bipartisan support in the United States .
Those days are decidedly over. Today, 70-75 percent of self-identified
Democrats and liberals believe humans are changing the climate -- a level that
has remained stable or risen slightly over the past decade. In sharp contrast,
Republicans, particularly Tea Party members, have overwhelmingly chosen to
reject the scientific consensus. In some regions, only about 20 percent of
self-identified Republicans accept the science.
Equally significant has been
a shift in emotional intensity. Climate change used to be something most
everyone said they cared about -- just not all that much. When Americans were
asked to rank their political concerns in order of priority, climate change
would reliably come in last.
But now there is a
significant cohort of Republicans who care passionately, even obsessively,
about climate change -- though what they care about is exposing it as a
"hoax" being perpetrated by liberals to force them to change their
light bulbs, live in Soviet-style tenements and surrender their SUVs. For these
right-wingers, opposition to climate change has become as central to their
worldview as low taxes, gun ownership and opposition to abortion. Many climate
scientists report receiving death threats, as do authors of articles on
subjects as seemingly innocuous as energy conservation. (As one letter writer
put it to Stan Cox, author of a book critical of air-conditioning, "You
can pry my thermostat out of my cold dead hands.")
This culture-war intensity is
the worst news of all, because when you challenge a person's position on an
issue core to his or her identity, facts and arguments are seen as little more
than further attacks, easily deflected. (The deniers have even found a way to
dismiss a new study confirming the reality of global warming that was partially
funded by the Koch brothers, and led by a scientist sympathetic to the
"skeptic" position.)
The effects of this
emotional intensity have been on full display in the race to lead the
Republican Party. Days into his presidential campaign, with his home state
literally burning up with wildfires, Texas Governor Rick Perry delighted the
base by declaring that climate scientists were manipulating data "so that
they will have dollars rolling into their projects." Meanwhile, the only
candidate to consistently defend climate science, Jon Huntsman, was dead on
arrival. And part of what has rescued Mitt Romney's campaign has been his
flight from earlier statements supporting the scientific consensus on climate change.
But the effects of the
right-wing climate conspiracies reach far beyond the Republican Party. The
Democrats have mostly gone mute on the subject, not wanting to alienate independents.
And the media and culture industries have followed suit. Five years ago,
celebrities were showing up at the Academy Awards in hybrids, Vanity
Fair launched an annual green issue and, in 2007, the three major US networks ran
147 stories on climate change. No longer. In 2010 the networks ran just
thirty-two climate change stories; limos are back in style at the Academy
Awards; and the “annual” Vanity Fair green issue hasn’t been
seen since 2008.
This uneasy silence has
persisted through the end of the hottest decade in recorded history and yet
another summer of freak natural disasters and record-breaking heat worldwide.
Meanwhile, the fossil fuel industry is rushing to make multibillion-dollar
investments in new infrastructure to extract oil, natural gas and coal from
some of the dirtiest and highest-risk sources on the continent (the $7 billion
Keystone XL pipeline being only the highest-profile example). In the Alberta tar sands, in the Beaufort Sea, in the gas fields
of Pennsylvania and the coalfields of Wyoming and Montana ,
the industry is betting big that the climate movement is as good as dead.
If the carbon these projects
are poised to suck out is released into the atmosphere, the chance of
triggering catastrophic climate change will increase dramatically (mining the
oil in the Alberta tar sands alone, says NASA’s James Hansen, would be
“essentially game over” for the climate).
All of this means that the
climate movement needs to have one hell of a comeback. For this to happen, the
left is going to have to learn from the right. Denialists gained traction by
making climate about economics: action will destroy capitalism, they have
claimed, killing jobs and sending prices soaring. But at a time when a growing
number of people agree with the protesters at Occupy Wall Street, many of whom
argue that capitalism-as-usual is itself the cause of lost jobs and debt
slavery, there is a unique opportunity to seize the economic terrain from the
right. This would require making a persuasive case that the real solutions to
the climate crisis are also our best hope of building a much more enlightened
economic system—one that closes deep inequalities, strengthens and transforms
the public sphere, generates plentiful, dignified work and radically reins in
corporate power. It would also require a shift away from the notion that
climate action is just one issue on a laundry list of worthy causes vying for
progressive attention. Just as climate denialism has become a core identity issue
on the right, utterly entwined with defending current systems of power and
wealth, the scientific reality of climate change must, for progressives, occupy
a central place in a coherent narrative about the perils of unrestrained greed
and the need for real alternatives.
Building such a
transformative movement may not be as hard as it first appears. Indeed, if you
ask the Heartlanders, climate change makes some kind of left-wing revolution
virtually inevitable, which is precisely why they are so determined to deny its
reality. Perhaps we should listen to their theories more closely—they might
just understand something the left still doesn’t get.
* * *
The deniers did not decide
that climate change is a left-wing conspiracy by uncovering some covert
socialist plot. They arrived at this analysis by taking a hard look at what it
would take to lower global emissions as drastically and as rapidly as climate
science demands. They have concluded that this can be done only by radically
reordering our economic and political systems in ways antithetical to their
“free market” belief system. As British blogger and Heartland regular James
Delingpole has pointed out, “Modern environmentalism successfully advances many
of the causes dear to the left: redistribution of wealth, higher taxes, greater
government intervention, regulation.” Heartland’s Bast puts it even more
bluntly: For the left, “Climate change is the perfect thing…. It’s the reason
why we should do everything [the left] wanted to do anyway.”
Here’s my inconvenient
truth: they aren’t wrong. Before I go any further, let me be absolutely clear:
as 97 percent of the world’s climate scientists attest, the Heartlanders are
completely wrong about the science. The heat-trapping gases released into the
atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels are already causing temperatures
to increase. If we are not on a radically different energy path by the end of
this decade, we are in for a world of pain.
But when it comes to the
real-world consequences of those scientific findings, specifically the kind of
deep changes required not just to our energy consumption but to the underlying
logic of our economic system, the crowd gathered at the Marriott Hotel may be
in considerably less denial than a lot of professional environmentalists, the
ones who paint a picture of global warming Armageddon, then assure us that we
can avert catastrophe by buying “green” products and creating clever markets in
pollution.
The fact that the earth’s
atmosphere cannot safely absorb the amount of carbon we are pumping into it is
a symptom of a much larger crisis, one born of the central fiction on which our
economic model is based: that nature is limitless, that we will always be able
to find more of what we need, and that if something runs out it can be
seamlessly replaced by another resource that we can endlessly extract. But it
is not just the atmosphere that we have exploited beyond its capacity to
recover—we are doing the same to the oceans, to freshwater, to topsoil and to
biodiversity. The expansionist, extractive mindset, which has so long governed
our relationship to nature, is what the climate crisis calls into question so
fundamentally. The abundance of scientific research showing we have pushed
nature beyond its limits does not just demand green products and market-based
solutions; it demands a new civilizational paradigm, one grounded not in
dominance over nature but in respect for natural cycles of renewal—and acutely
sensitive to natural limits, including the limits of human intelligence.
So in a way, Chris Horner
was right when he told his fellow Heartlanders that climate change isn’t “the
issue.” In fact, it isn’t an issue at all. Climate change is a message, one
that is telling us that many of our culture’s most cherished ideas are no longer
viable. These are profoundly challenging revelations for all of us raised on
Enlightenment ideals of progress, unaccustomed to having our ambitions confined
by natural boundaries. And this is true for the statist left as well as the
neoliberal right.
While Heartlanders like to
invoke the specter of communism to terrify Americans about climate action
(Czech President Vaclav Klaus, a Heartland conference favorite, says that
attempts to prevent global warming are akin to “the ambitions of communist
central planners to control the entire society”), the reality is that
Soviet-era state socialism was a disaster for the climate. It devoured
resources with as much enthusiasm as capitalism, and spewed waste just as
recklessly: before the fall of the Berlin Wall, Czechs and Russians had even
higher carbon footprints per capita than their counterparts in Britain , Canada
and Australia .
And while some point to the dizzying expansion of China ’s
renewable energy programs to argue that only centrally controlled regimes can
get the green job done, China ’s
command-and-control economy continues to be harnessed to wage an all-out war
with nature, through massively disruptive mega-dams, superhighways and
extraction-based energy projects, particularly coal.
It is true that responding
to the climate threat requires strong government action at all levels. But real
climate solutions are ones that steer these interventions to systematically
disperse and devolve power and control to the community level, whether through
community-controlled renewable energy, local organic agriculture or transit
systems genuinely accountable to their users.
Here is where the
Heartlanders have good reason to be afraid: arriving at these new systems is
going to require shredding the free-market ideology that has dominated the
global economy for more than three decades. What follows is a quick-and-dirty
look at what a serious climate agenda would mean in the following six arenas:
public infrastructure, economic planning, corporate regulation, international trade,
consumption and taxation. For hard-right ideologues like those gathered at the
Heartland conference, the results are nothing short of intellectually
cataclysmic.
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